Showing posts with label east asia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label east asia. Show all posts

Monday, October 6, 2008

Korean Soap Operas: Good for Korea, Good for the Philippines, Good for Asia

Additions in blue.

The 'Korean wave', the spread in popularity of Korean soap operas and music across East Asia, has been occurring for a while, and is continuing. This trend is good for Korea, the Philippines, and all East Asia.

Korea

For South Korea, the advantages of the dispersal of Korean media is obvious. Korean film and music companies have access to a market of over two billion. Koreans can spread knowledge of their culture and history throughout the region. Soap operas are a useful means of advertising Korean high technology. Korean televisions, cell phones, mp3 players, and other electronics are a common feature in many of the dramas. Another perk is that the opinions about Koreans among East Asians is heavily influenced by what they see on television: the Koreans are pretty people who love and are generally good--even if the bad guys are conniving and cruel. Many foreign viewers would probably develop an interest in visiting Korea, or even investing. Economically and culturally, Korea can sell itself to the rest of East Asia for a huge profit, literally and figuratively.

Also, as in the United States and probably every major country, Korean dramas offer social engineering in Korea. Concepts such as marrying for love, and not being preoccupied about saving face are tackled. By mentioning other countries and cultures, Koreans are at least slightly presented with an acknowledgment of their neighbors, usually without a negative or hostile connotation.

the Philippines

About the Filipino psyche:
"If any peoples could benefit from believing themselves to be the master race, Filipinos would be one of them."

For the Philippines, the advent of Korean soap operas, which is a relatively new phenomenon compared with other Asian countries such as Japan, is good because it helps sever Filipino audiences from both Western media and the local film industry. In the Philippines, the actors and actresses are often members of the de facto aristocracy. The Filipino elite use their power in the economy, the government, and the media to keep their positions, and keep others out. Of these, the segment which serves the most to keep the Filipino people placated with their obscene situation is the media. As with many peoples, Filipinos love their actors. It is just that their actors also happen to be or be related to the government officials and businessmen who are gouging the country and blocking accelerated development.

Korean soaps also give an Asian physical ideal, whereas the Philippines is used to the concept of 'true beauty is white beauty'. Many films are imported from the United States and the West, while much of the local 'talent' contains Caucasoid mestizo Filipinos. Although the Korean actors tend to be lighter than the average Filipino, and they too seem to exemplify a somewhat European ideal with Korean actors tending to have double eyelids, narrow noses, and longer faces than the typical Korean, for Filipinos admiring Korean actors is still a step up from aspiring to look like 'white' actors.

There is also a cultural advantage. A common description of the Philippines is '300 years in a convent, 50 years in Hollywood,' describing the eras of Spanish and American rule of the country. Even today, Philippine culture is heavily influenced not just by American culture, but especially by what Filipinos see of American culture via American movies. As any American can tell you, Hollywood is not a good conveyor of American culture. This is part of why the Philippines is so culturally screwed up (there are MANY ways besides this why the Philippines is culturally defective). Add onto this that the closest match to 'real' Filipino culture is Hispanic.

Korean soap operas in the Philippines offer a way by which the Philippines can de-Westernize, de-Hispanicize, and re-Asianize, and even Northeast Asianize. This is basically something which I strongly advocate: a qualified de-Westernification; a complete de-Hispanication; and a qualified re-Asianification. I especially support the Philippines taking on aspects of Confucianism. Confucianism, after all, was specifically made to unify culturally a bunch of warring Chinese states, and led to a mono-cultural, unified China which exists up to this day. However, only qualified Confucianism; for instance, Confucianism leads too much to giving power based on seniority rather than merit.

Anyway, Korean soap operas introduce Confucian concepts to the Filipino people, a nation divided on several levels, such as: Tagalog, Cebuano, Mindanaoan, Pampangan, 'overseas Chinese' (something very odious about that), Spanish/'American' mestizo, Chinese mestizo, Aeta, etc. There is in effect no real Filipino nation, just a bunch of people resulting from Spain grabbing as many islands as they could. The 'overseas Chinese', and various mestizo groups lord it over the Malay 'purebreds'.

With Korean dramas, Filipinos are introduced to a society where it is the majority 'purebred' population who lords it over their few 'mestizos'. Being 'pure' is deemed to be good. Having foreign admixture is considered shameful. Because of this 'purity', Koreans view themselves as one family, one nation bound together by blood. This extends to culture, where many Koreans are unwilling to admit the huge (and primary) influences on Korean society by China and Japan, even going to such absurd lengths as to suggest that Korean civilization birthed Chinese civilization, rather than the other way around. In essence, Koreans bring nationalism to the point of racism.

While I definitely do not support the racism which is so prevalent in Korea (and Northeast Asia in general), the Philippines could use a lot more nationalism--and even (for now) nationalism just crossing over the border into racism. Filipinos have a huge inferiority complex. They will try to tie themselves to any other culture, be that Arab, Indian, Indonesian, Chinese, Spanish, British, American, even Japanese (because of World War II when Japan made the Philippine economy contract by 60%, practically obliterated Manila, and murdered and raped thousands of Filipino civilians)! They will try to claim practically any foreign blood and descent. Because foreign cultures and foreign blood are superior to Filipino culture(s) and Filipino blood and descent, at least in their mindsets. Add onto that that Filipinos do not have what would be considered a full-fledged culture to begin with. That is, in fact, the great secret behind Filipinos' famous tendency to assimilate into the cultures to which they emigrate--the new cultures are superior to the old, and the old was not really a complete culture.

It is also why the Chinese, in both Southeast Asia and the West have such an appalling record of assimilation. They are (too) proud of their native culture and 'race'. You have people whose ancestors immigrated from China over half a millennium ago calling themselves Chinese. The Chinese intermarriage rate in the United States is miniscule in comparison to the Filipino and Japanese, even though the Chinese community is the most established of the three 'old' Asian immigrant groups. There are far more Chinatowns than Little Manilas or Japantowns, and far more Chinese schools than Japanese schools--and there is no corresponding Filipino school.

If any peoples could benefit from believing themselves to be the master race, Filipinos would be one of them.

Filipinos could afford to be more stuck up like their northern neighbors. It would help build confidence in themselves and their nation and country.

Filipinos have to stop selling themselves short, and need to start having a little pride in who they are. And even though they do not have a culture (they are culturally fragmented; as much as a nation can be anthromorphized, the Philippines has multiple personality disorder, and the personalities are not even fully fleshed out), Filipinos have to realize that they can still build one. Cultures had to start somewhere and sometime. Coming up with a new name for the Philippines, Filipinos, and Filipino/Pilipino would be a start, as would be the reintroduction of baybayin, albeit in (heavily) modified form. Quashing out languages other than Tagalog and English (Filipino/Pilipino should strip the Spanish words and revert to pure Tagalog) and removing all tribal identification would be another route. I actually find Philippine languages to generally be too unwieldy (excessive repetition of complete syllables to indicate plurality, and even basic words having multiple syllables) and not pleasant-sounding, but there is the pride issue.

But back to the topic at hand, the introduction of Korean soap operas into the Philippines.

Even though many of the Korean soaps actually are critical of parts of Confucianism, they are supportive--and therefore promote-- of other parts of the philosophy. The Philippines could use a LOT of Confucianism to help build a unified, proud nation which values 'harmony' and working as a part of a greater whole.

By making Korean soap operas popular in the Philippines, for once the Philippines is doing something in unison with much of the rest of East Asia. As Filipinos are engrossed in Korean dramas, so to are Japanese, Chinese, Malaysians, and Koreans themselves.

So, Korean soap operas could help Filipinos by showing pretty people who look a bit more similar to Filipinos than 'whites', by spreading Confucianism and useful values, and making Filipinos feel more a part of Asia, rather that set apart (both by Filipinos themselves and by ostracization by other Asians) from Asia. Also by undermining the aristocracy and displacing Hispanic and Western cultural values (many of the Western 'values' the Philippines picked up were the bad ones, anyway).

Asia

Korean soap operas are useful for all East Asia because they help to promote East Asian cultural unity, something which will be needed if East Asia unifies economically and especially if the region is to unify politically. By spreading Korean culture, and inserting Korean culture and values into the audience cultures, the dramas help to homogenize--even if in a small way--all East Asian cultures. The dramas, even the older ones, often make a point of including other Asian countries in some way, either by mentioning some country or in a few cases even setting part of the drama in a foreign state.

I am not too keen on entrusting East Asian cultural unification to the Koreans. I have previously mentioned that Koreans seem to be the most racist major Asian 'race'. Considering Korea's history of often being a protectorate of either China or Japan, and having relationships with only those two countries (there's a reason why Korea is referred to as the 'Hermit Kingdom'), that a xenophobic and racist attitude would develop in Korean culture is understandable, if not good. And to Koreans' credit, they seem to be moving toward a less racist stance at a faster pace than their two larger neighbors, who have much less reason to be racist (China for instance neighbors multiple countries and 'races' even if for much of history those other countries were less developed than China....). Japan has been part of the 'international community' for over a hundred years and is only barely less racist than Korea. Ironically, Northeast Asians tend to be particularly racist towards South Asians--and 'blacks'. After China, India was the most powerful state, or collection of states, during the last millennium until the European colonial era. And civilization reached India before China. But when did racists let history stop them from perpetuating their fantasies?

Still, I would rather Thailand be put in charge of East Asian cultural integration.

But that has not happened, and Korea has been put in charge. And so far they are doing decently. The actors have a wide range of appearances, some even being able to pass for Southeast Asian. Although there might be a slight tendency for the bad guys to look Southeast Asian or South Chinese moreso than the good guys, this tendency is very slight, if it exists at all.

More pressing is that while many of the actors are what I would consider dark skinned (although considerably lighter than the typical Southeast Asian man), the actresses are almost uniformly light skinned. The darkest I have seen to date would still be considered light by Southeast Asian standards, although within the natural range, before skin whitening pills or creams (or both).

The contrast between Korean soaps and Latin American telenovelas is stark from a racial standpoint. Firstly, the Korean soaps contain far more dark-skinned characters. Notably, both dark and light skinned actors can play primary or secondary roles, or act as 'extras'. In telenovelas, it is pretty clear what the directors/producers are getting at, deliberately or subconsciously. The dark skinned, less European, people are the servants and get very minor roles. The light skinned, more European, get the primary roles. None of the servants are very light skinned, and none of the big wigs are very dark skinned. Dark people's place is on the bottom of the social and economic totem poles, and off on the sidelines. Light people's place is to at least be above the dark people. This contrast is even more striking when considering that, proportionally, Korea contains far more light skinned people than Latin America, and yet is willing to give dark skinned people prominent roles.

Korean dramas have light and dark skinned bosses and servants. So, Korean dramas are much less racist than telenovelas. I have just seen something which does probably cross over the 'color' threshold. In a soap, a girlfriend was introducing her boyfriend to her friends. Two of the girls were light skinned, the other dark. The camera focused primarily on either the two light skinned girls, or all three. Additionally, only the light skinned girls had multiple-word lines and lines which were unique and not shared by all the friends (basically one word exclamations which they all said). But this is just a single case; so I don't know whether this was just a coincidence or discrimination against dark skinned girls.

Another downside is that the characters sure do drink a lot of soju (seems to be basically the Korean version of sake) and get drunk. I suspect that drunkenness is accepted and even encouraged in Japanese and Korean society because of those cultures' tendency to have people mask their opinions and feelings behind a veneer of politeness and a 'don't make waves' attitude. Being drunk offers others a means of seeing the 'real you', without the societal constrictions. (A bad part of Confucianism). Considering that all East Asian populations tend to be alcohol intolerant (they tend to have a gene mutation which is less efficient at breaking down alcohol--Amerindians inherited this faulty gene, too), excessive drinking of alcohol is not a 'value' I support for Korea, the Philippines, or Asia.

Moreso, and Korea is hardly alone among Asian countries in this regard, Korean dramas--from what I have seen--do treat the mentally disabled extremely offensively.

Also, oftentimes in the dramas the men will grab a woman's arm, and occasionally spinning her around, to prevent her from leaving, rather forcibly--this would be pushing the boundaries of what is considered assault in the United States.

Still, even though Korean soap operas could be a force for good in weakening the domestic violence which is rampant across Asia, but as of yet are not, overall, Korean dramas help to unify Asia and help various Asian peoples be aware of each other and not view each other as enemies.




As you can see, this post takes a LOT of blogging liberty in being very ill-formed. Yet I hope that you can agree with or at least consider the points which I have made here, even if they were not set out in the most structured way.

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Found this article interesting? Check out:
History: The Roadmap to the Future.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Asia.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Latin America.

Or:
The Science Fiction Channel + Technorium.
The Vegetarian Diaries + Biologeel.

Monday, June 16, 2008

Review of "Are Asians Racist?"

Although quite dated (1999), this Australian Broadcasting Corporation transcript of a speech titled, "Are Asians Racist?" is in general a superb first overview of East Asian racism for those unfamiliar with the subject, though it--as the speaker acknowledges--only scratches the surface on racism in Asia.

The piece accurately points out that racism is more endemic in Northeast Asia, referred to as North Asia in the piece. Also picked up on is that Japan and Korea especially can be singled out for having large levels of racism that pervades their societies. China is also mentioned in this group, but the criticism is less pointed.

In contrast, Southeast Asia is considered, in the speech, to be less racist than Northeast Asia, but also more communalist; that is, there is a fair amount of discrimination along culturally ethnic lines, rather than genetically racial ones. Malaysia is depicted as the major communalist country in the region, while Singapore, the Philippines, and Thailand are portrayed as somewhat less prejudiced about ethnicity.

The speech makes note of the fact that across East Asia the group facing the most racism is that of 'blacks,' who are subject--to varying degrees--in both Northeast and Southeast Asia.

There are a few, relatively minor, inaccuracies, however. For instance, pointing to massacres of ethnic Chinese in the Philippines as being a case of communalism. While some were due to resentment of the Chinese' relative economic success (as a group) in the Philippines, a huge number of those ethnic Chinese massacred were killed because of Chinese uprising against Spanish rule (the Philippines was a Spanish possession from the 1500s to 1898). Although the ethnic Chinese might have been directly killed by Filipinos, it was on orders from Spanish officers and the Spanish colonial government. Nor were those particular massacres borne of nativist resentment against the ethnic 'foreigners,' but were the military response to insurrections which occasionally flared up in the ethnic Chinese community.

Overall, the speech was excellent, and ended on an extremely pertinent point: Asians are human, and all human groups have difficulties surrounding the concept of racism. Asians, Africans, Europeans, Amerindians, etc. all share with each other both their virtues and their disgraces.


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History: The Roadmap to the Future.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Latin America.

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History: The Roadmap to the Future.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Asia.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Latin America.

Or:
The Science Fiction Channel + Technorium.
The Vegetarian Diaries + Biologeel.

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Filipinos Are Asian--Get Used to It.

There seems to be a common misconception in the United States and Asia, and probably--to some extent--in the rest of the world, that Filipinos are not Asian, but are instead Pacific Islanders. Ironically, major proponents of this view are so-called Filipino Americans. That Filipinos are Asian should not even be an issue that is up for debate at all. This article will try to set some things straight.

Geography


The CIA World Factbook locates the Republic of the Philippines as being in "Southeastern Asia, archipelago between the Philippine Sea and the South China Sea, east of Vietnam." The Merriam-Webster Dictionary defines the Philippines as, "country E Asia comprising the Philippine Islands; a republic; once a Spanish possession & (1898–1946) a United States possession capital Manila." The archipelago comprising the Philippines is indisputably a part of Asia. Insular Southeast Asia, to be specific. If you don't believe the map provided here, then look at a world map or a globe. The Philippines' direct northern neighbor is Taiwan, with Japan (via the Ryukyus) just a little off to the northeast. China (mainland) is to the northwest. Those are not only considered Asian, but Northeast Asian. Malaysia is to the southeast. And the Moluccas (part of Indonesia) is to Mindanao's south. The Philippines is on the eastern edge of the South China Sea, the same as with Taiwan, insular Malaysia, and Brunei. Yes, the Philippines is located on islands in the Pacific Ocean. Taiwan is an island in the Pacific Ocean. Japan is located on islands in the Pacific Ocean. Korea and China both have islands in the Pacific Ocean. And the bulk of the Southeast Asian population lives on islands in the Pacific Ocean. Yet these countries' peoples are not Pacific Islanders. Nor are the Philippines' people. Filipinos are not Pacific Islanders. From a geographic standpoint, you cannot argue that the Philippines is not a part of Asia.

Ethnicity
The typical Filipino is of the Malay ethnicity, the same as Malaysians, Indonesians, and people in Brunei. Genetically, Filipinos of Luzon (the largest and most populous island in the Philippines) have a genetic affinity with native peoples of Taiwan. In addition to the Malay majority, there are Aeta (who are Melanesoid--which is not the same as Australoid), Chinese, and European minorities.

Filipino culture is easily the most Western of all 'Eastern' countries. However, Filipinos still retain much of their pre-Spanish culture, notably the languages, ranging from Tagalog to Cebuano to Ingorot, which are closely related to languages on the island of Borneo. The Filipino cuisine, while having considerable Malay traits, is heavily Chinese influenced, for instance, lumpia. The copious use of sugar, plantains, and coconut milk in recipes ties the food of the Philippines to both mainland and insular Southeast Asia.

Now, it is the case that Philippine languages are part of the Austronesian (not be confused with Australian/Australoid) language family, which is spoken from Taiwan to Indonesia to Vietnam and Thailand to Madagascar to Hawaii. A few researchers consider Japanese, Korean, the Austro-Asiatic (Southeast Asian), Thai-Kadai, or even Sino-Tibetan languages to be related to Austronesian, either as individuals, or as a great, East Asian language family. However, the spread of this language family (and civilization) was from Asia (particularly Taiwan) to Polynesia (and Africa in the case of Madagascar), not the other way around. Saying that Filipinos are Pacific Islanders is (although the time frame is wider) akin to saying that Northeast Asians are Amerindians; you could argue that Amerindians are Northeast Asians (a stretch), but not the other way around. To use a shorter time frame, saying that Filipinos are Pacific Islanders is akin to stating that Europeans are pan-Americans, or even mestizos, depending on whether or not Polynesians have Melanesian genes; Europeans are not from the Americas, but many pan-Americans can trace their lineage to Europe. Filipinos are not from the Pacific Islands, but many Pacific Islanders can trace their lineage to (what is now) the Philippines.

Ethnically, the Filipinos are Asian.

History

Historically, the case for Filipinos being Asian is strong. The Philippines are considered to have first been settled by the ancestors of the Aetas, who came from Southeast Asia (the Aeta bear similarities to the Orang Asli of the Malay Peninsula--on mainland Asia). The bulk of the population is descended from immigrants from Taiwan, the original Austronesians, the preponderance of whom have now become to be referred to as 'Malay.' (Other Austronesian groups include the natives of Taiwan, the Cham of Vietnam, Cambodia, and Thailand, and peoples on China's Hainan Island). The ancestors of the Malay Filipinos arrived a few millennia ago, and brought with them rice cultivation and domesticated pigs, dogs, and chickens.

What is now the Philippines was part of an ancient Southeast Asian trade network in jade from Taiwan being distributed to lands in the Philippines, Vietnam, and Thailand. The advent of bronze in the Philippines (around 500BC) and the beginning of the Philippine Iron Age (around 200BC) are considered to have occurred due to contact and trade with Southeast Asia--the short time frame between the smelting of bronze and iron suggests this, along with tin--required for bronze--not being found in large quantities in the Philippines. 200BC is also when some believe first Philippine contact with Indians (from India) was achieved, and trade started. AD900 is the date of the Laguna Copperplate Inscription. The writing is written in Kavi, a Javanese (Indonesian) script, which traces it lineage to Indic writing systems. Personally question the authenticity of this artifact. If genuine, then technically Philippine history would begin in AD900 (history begins when there are written records). However, when the Spanish arrived, only Tagalogs were using writing, and that writing was Baybayin (also referred to as alibata), a writing system that was not as efficient at writing down Tagalog as Kavi. Baybayin is considered to have come into existence around AD1200 at the earliest. If the artifact is authentic, then why wasn't writing more widespread when the Spaniards arrived, and why was the writing system not based directly on Kavi and capable of accurately expressing spoken Tagalog in written form?

Anyway, the first Chinese records of Filipinos (from Luzon, or Luzones) are dated to around this time, and the first written Chinese records of the Philippines a bit afterwards. By the advent of the Spanish, Sino-Philippine trade was such that the Philippines were flooded with Chinese porcelain and the Filipinos were no longer mining their own iron ore (though they still smelted and fashioned it). A note about the bad points of globalization: the Philippine pottery industry was retarded because local artisans couldn't compete with cheaper but more sophisticated Chinese ware, and importing old iron instruments or raw iron ore from China was cheaper than mining the stuff in the Philippines. Also, when the Spaniards arrived, the Philippines was in trade contact with Japan.

The Philippines traded with other Asian states and peoples since antiquity, during foreign, Western rule, and still trade with other Asian nations today.

Conclusion

Above, it has been shown that from a geographic, ethnic, and historic point of view, the Philippines and Filipinos are clearly Asian. That is not up for questioning. It is just a fact. Just as much as Chinese, Japanese, or Vietnamese, Filipinos are Asian.

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History: The Roadmap to the Future.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
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History: The Roadmap to the Future.
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History: The Roadmap to the Future--Asia.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Latin America.

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Wednesday, June 4, 2008

Mr. Hu's Neighborhood. (Third Part)

In the two preceding articles, the point was made that China's rise is being viewed as a challenge and a threat by the other nations of East Asia. Now will be discussed Asian states which are already under China's thrall or are setting themselves up for it, along with the conclusion to the series.

East Asian countries currently more-or-less free from China's influence are watching their giant neighbor closely for signs of a more belligerent Beijing. And as the Chinese economy expands, China does seem to be taking on a more militant and commanding tone toward its neighbors. But what about states already greatly influenced and dependent on Chinese support, notably North Korea and Burma. The Soviet Union had East Germany and Poland. Communist China has North Korea and Burma.

North Korea is almost completely dependent on China for its survival. Even with Beijing propping it up, the Hermit Kingdom is on the verge of destitution. While North Korea has nuclear weapons--sort of, their attempt did not fully explode--it people are starving to death. The 'Dear Leader' has already ticked off China quite a bit, bringing the United States to look even closer at the region, and pressuring the country to increase an American military--and diplomatic--presence in East Asia. If China becomes too fed up and the current North Korean President dies, China could ignore Kim's successor and just invade North Korea, potentially strongarming Kim into bequeathing his country to China on his deathbed--or say that was the case. As is, North Korea is already currently a de facto Chinese protectorate.

The other country, Burma, is less under the thumb of China, in part due to its alternative options of trading with India and its fellow ASEAN states, in part due to its rich endowment of natural resources such as gems and luxury timber. Still, the Communist government in Beijing exerts considerable influence on the Burmese military junta. China could have forced the junta into letting in foreign aid after Cyclone Nargis devastated southern Burma, particularly the Delta region, but didn't. It's in China's interest to have a weak Burmese protectorate.

Which leads to ASEAN. The members of the Association of South East Asian Nations are set to form a free trade agreement with China. This will be a debacle for the comparatively small states in ASEAN. They will be flooded with far more cheap Chinese products which will out-compete their native industries, while the agreement will not bring in all that much Chinese foreign investment.

Now, if ASEAN actually worked as a solid unit, functioning as one, ASEAN could benefit from such an FTA with China. ASEAN could rival China. The Association has less people, but is strategically located to take advantage of trade with both China and India, while resource rich Australia is ASEAN's southern neighbor.

But the members of ASEAN don't follow a policy of solidarity. Each member looks out for itself, often to the detriment of the other member states. Pity for them; they will be picked off--at least economically, if not economically and militarily--one by one. As a group, they could challenge China. As individuals they could be crushed by China.

Conclusion

China's neighbors in Northeast and Southeast Asia are wise to closely monitor China and try to either guide its development to a peaceful end, or try to inhibit China's advancement. Japan is advanced and powerful, and has powerful friends (the United States and the EU), but will have to work hard to keep China in check. Small nations have to prepare for the Chinese dragon to snap at them. ASEAN ought to capitalize on their supposed unity and work as one. And ASEAN makes the most poignant point:

If China's neighbors want to keep their 'big brother' in line, they will have to work together, from Japan to Indonesia, from Mongolia to Burma, and work as one to make themselves into a 'bigger brother' that can confront China should the need arise. If they don't they all can look forward to an East Asia ruled from Beijing.



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The Roadmap to the Future.
The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
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History: The Roadmap to the Future.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Asia.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Latin America.

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The Science Fiction Channel + Technorium.
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Tuesday, June 3, 2008

Mr. Hu's Neighborhood. (Second Part)

In the previous article, the effects of China's rapid rise on Japan were discussed. In this piece, the effects on China's smaller and weaker neighbors will be explored.

Japan is the second largest economy on Earth, and the largest in Asia. It has a population of some 140 million people and one of the most advanced militaries on the planet. Yet even Japan is facing the threat of an ascendant China, a China which is not all that amicable toward Japan, due to historic conflicts and the Communists' using that history to incite antipathy toward Japan to preserve stability at home. However, if Japan--a powerful country--is already being threatened by China, then how much more are the smaller nations in East Asia being threatened? To be discussed below are: South Korea, Mongolia, the Philippines, and Taiwan.

At several points in its history, the Korean Peninsula has been under the thumb of China, either as a protectorate or as a full-fledged Chinese territory. For much of its history, Korea, along with most East Asian nations, was a tributary of China, although in effect this amounted to little more than having a free trade agreement with the Middle Kingdom. (It should be pointed out that economic strong-arming is a form of exertion of power).

South Korea has performed admirably in its recent history, rising from a poor, third world country, to a de facto developed state, even as its once more prosperous northern neighbor has descended into an economic cesspool. With forty million people, South Korea has one of the largest economies in Asia, and easily provides enough food for its people. Yet those forty million people pale in comparison to China's 1.3 billion, and South Korea is practically an island off the coast of China, as the border with North Korea is basically closed. China has used historic precedent to justify its occupation of Tibet, East Turkmenistan (Xinjiang), and Inner Mongolia, and uses historic precedent to argue that it owns the Paracel and Spratly Islands in the South China Sea, although the latter are far from China's borders. A similar use of precedent could be used by China to take over South Korea.

Mongolia has rough relations with China, which it frequently has had for millennia. It bears some similarity to Korea. Mongolia was once part of China--gaining independence as recently as 1921. More to the point, part of 'Mongolia' is already part of China, and dubbed 'Inner Mongolia.' Chinese investment is high in Mongolia, and Mongolia is already economically dependent on that Chinese capital flowing into their country. While it would be natural for China to invest in a poor neighbor, it is also poignant that Mongolia has a tiny population, a fair amount of land, and considerable natural resources. Again using the historic precedent argument, having China take over the remainder of Mongolia is not such a far stretch.

The Philippines, as opposed to the other states mentioned in this article, was not historically a part of China, either as a protectorate or part of China proper. However, the Philippines' relations with China are just as threatening for the Philippines as South Korea's and Mongolia's relations with China are for them. The Philippines was one of the few countries more openly opposed to China's Communist government in the last century, and sent troops in both the Korean and Vietnam Wars, and served as a base in the latter. As with Mongolia, China is a major investor in the Philippines, although the Philippines' receives a relatively small amount of investment due to the perception that it is a highly corrupt country (to be fair, the Philippines in 2007 was not abnormal for its region, according to Transparency International, even though other South East Asian states receive far more foreign investment). Additionally, the Philippines has a sizable number of 'overseas Chinese,' who are not assimilated, and there is a lot of conflict between these ethnic Chinese and ethnic Malay Filipinos. China could invade under the guise of protecting 'their people' from vicious attacks.

Potentially most threatened by China's rise is Taiwan, which much of the world officially considers to be part of China (solely for the purpose of being able to trade with China--another case of economic strong-arming) whilst recognizing Taiwan's de facto sovereignty (currently). As with South Korea, Taiwan was able to turn from a poor, third world country (and one with a high proportion of refugees, to boot) into a developed state. And as with South Korea, Taiwan's small population and close proximity to China put it at risk of invasion. Ruled by China for centuries, the island of Formosa (Taiwan) was ceded to Japan after the Sino-Japanese War, but given to the Republic of China after the defeat of Japan in World War 2. The Taiwanese could validly argue that either their island's future should be decided by Japan (due to the wording of the treaty ending the Sino-Japanese War) or by the Republic of China (which is what Taiwan officially is). However, China definitely does not have to honor that legal basis. Of the countries mentioned here, Taiwan is the one most set to become part of China soon.

From Northeast Asia to Southeast Asia, China's smaller, weaker neighbors are threatened both by China's potential and its bullish attitude both in history and today.

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Monday, June 2, 2008

Mr. Hu's Neighborhood. (First Part)

The day isn't so wonderful in this neighborhood. While much of the world watches the rise of China, few nations are monitoring the ascendancy of China as closely as that country's nearest neighboring countries, the states with the most to lose should a superpower China suddenly turn from generally peaceful to openly hostile to foreign states.

From Japan to Timor, to Mongolia and Burma (and including Tibet and East Turkmenistan/Xinjiang), China's regional neighbors have long experience with dealing with the Middle Kingdom, although for some nations--such as those in the Malay Archipelago--this experience has been diluted by almost a half millennium of Western influence pushing out native pre-Western history and culture. These are nations which have dealt with China for around a millennium or more. And these are the nations, far more than those in the West, Middle East, or Africa, that can most accurately 'read' the actions of the giant in their part of the globe.

It is hard to downplay China's impact in the region's cultural development. Japan, a country which throughout its history was not a part of the Han Chinese Empire, still adopted Chinese characters in its writing system (referred to as kanji in Japanese), and many cultural traits deemed as 'Japanese' in the West are of Chinese origin (for instance, bonsai trees). The pre-Spanish Philippines, largely outside of the Chinese sphere of influence--South East Asia was primarily under the Indic (Indian) sphere of influence--still adopted much from southeastern Chinese cuisine, and Tagalog contains many loanwords from the Hakka (or Fukkian/Fujian) Chinese dialect. And, of course, Korea and Vietnam were both vassal states of China, occasionally considered part of China itself, much the way Tibet and East Turkmenistan are today.

It is Japan that has the most to lose economically and politically from an ascendant China. The second largest economy on Earth, and for over a century the dominant power native to Asia, Tokyo's geopolitical influence is today being challenged by Beijing. In future, China is set to eclipse Japan. Japan, with a decreasing and rapidly aging population and stagnant economic growth, simply will be hard-pressed to compete with China. Militarily, Japan currently has one of the most advanced militaries in the world, but China is speedily catching up in this field, too--in part due to stealing technologies from more advanced nations.

And if Japan is about to become a minnow in a pond where it was the big fish, then what about smaller and less developed states?
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The Roadmap to the Future.
The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
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The Science Fiction Channel + Technorium.
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History: The Roadmap to the Future.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Africa.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Asia.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Europe.
History: The Roadmap to the Future--Latin America.

Or:
The Science Fiction Channel + Technorium.
The Vegetarian Diaries + Biologeel.